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Johnson Has Turned Tory Leadership Into ‘Poisoned Chalice’ for His Replacement, Observers Say_我的网站

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一 |     Any attempt by the Conservative Party to pull a Margaret Thatcher-John Major-style leadership turnaround post-Johnson will be no easy task thanks to the Tories’ national unpopularity, and there is no clear frontrunner to replace him anyway. In the meantime, very little of substance will change in Britain’s foreign or domestic policy, whether it comes from the UK’s entanglement in the Ukraine crisis, or the cost of living emergency at home, academics, observers of British politics and ex-politicians have told Sputnik.,“This decision by Boris Johnson will have some impact on any future general election,” Alistair Jones, associate professor of politics at De Montfort University, explained in an interview. Johnson, Jones noted, had long been seen as an electoral asset to the Conservatives due to his affable personality and public endorsement.,“However, with what has gone on over the past two or three years, not just the Chris Pincher saga recently, but all the lying to parliament that has gone on, the fact that he has also lied to the monarch, there that there has been a lot of cronynism, there have been some dodgy dealings with particular companies getting contracts to provide personal protective equipment to the NHS with no previous experience of doing so. All of this has tarnished him,” the academic explained.,From Getting Brexit Done to Sleazy MPs: The Rise and Fall of Boris Johnson12:17 GMT,Jones emphasized that whoever replaces the outgoing prime minister, they will have the unenviable task of trying to wipe the slate clean of the scandals surrounding his government.,“In the same way that John Major did after he replaced Margaret Thatcher [in 1990] and of course, Major went on to win the subsequent general election,” Jones said. The problem, he believes, is that “as things stand…the Conservative Party is so unpopular…that anybody taking over as party leader, they are going to be taking on something of a poisoned chalice.”,© AP Photo / STRBritish Prime Minister John Major,right,talks to former British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher while they are seated at the podium on opening day of the Conservative Party convention in Bournemouth, England, Tuesday Oct. 8, 1996British Prime Minister John Major,right,talks to former British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher while they are seated at the podium on opening day of the Conservative Party convention in Bournemouth, England, Tuesday Oct. 8, 1996© AP Photo / STR,Political analyst and former MEP Nick Griffin concurs, saying that Johnson’s status within his party as “talisman for electoral victory”-turned “millstone around their necks” will give the Tories only a “brief window of opportunity to persuade voters that the Conservatives have turned over a new leaf and can be trusted more than the thoroughly uninspiring (and equally anti-Russian) Keir Starmer,” the leader of the Labour Party.,Humiliating Inevitability,Mark Garnett, a professor of politics at Lancaster University, and author of numerous books on British politics, including ‘The British Prime Minister in an Age of Upheaval’, and ‘From Anger to Apathy: The British Experience Since 1975’, considers Johnson’s resignation in disgrace to have been an inevitability, and suggested that “by clinging to office long after his departure became inevitable, the prime minister “exposed the weaknesses of Britain’s unwritten constitution.”,“Now that he has gone there should be a serious review of a system which could produce a leader whose unsuitability for the job was obvious to serious observers long before he became prime minister,” Dr. Garnett said.,Laura McAllister, a professor of public policy at the Wales Governance Centre, similarly indicated that Johnson’s resignation had become unavoidable, and suggested that the way it has transpired has been a humiliation to the office and the nation.,“He’s eventually bowed to pressure in a humiliating way, I have to say. And this shows a certain lack of dignity and respect for the views of not only his colleagues in government, but the public at large, where he’s clearly lost authority, trust and respect,” McAllister said.,No Clear Candidate for Takeover,There is no shortage of Tory officials and lawmakers to replace BoJo, including former chancellor of the exchequer Rishi Sunak and former secretary of state for health Sajid Javid, minister of state for trade policy Penny Mordaunt, deputy prime minister Dominic Raab and even foreign secretary Liz Truss. But what all of the observers queried by Sputnik agree on is that there is no clear frontrunner for the job.,As UK's Johnson Teeters On The Edge, Here Are The Top Contenders To Succeed As Next Tory PMYesterday, 09:58 GMT,“I notice that both the pound and the stock market have risen since the resignation. Those who had not resigned from [Johnson’s] discredited government before today will not be in the running to succeed him,” Rodney Atkinson, an academic, political and economic commentator and businessman, predicted. “Truss in particular with her irresponsible war mongering not only in Ukraine but around the world was in any case no longer credible. Rishi Sunak might have improved his chances but Nadhim Zahawi who replaced him has not,” he said.,Griffin agrees, pointing to the longstanding British political tradition that “‘he who wields the knife’ against a prime minister is not likely to replace his victim. So despite the high profile role of Sunak and Javid in the ousting of the disgraced Johnson, his successor is likely to be chosen from among those who stayed ‘loyal’ a little longer,” the observer believes.,“There can be no doubt that the White Hall and intelligence services ‘Deep State’ will want the succession to go to an MP with a particularly strong track record of Russophobia and outspoken support for NATO’s puppet regime in Kiev,” the observer said, noting that for this reason Truss and secretary of state for defense Ben Wallace will likely be “pushed forward as frontrunners.”,Professor McAllister noted that there is no shortage of contenders, but only two or three possible favorites. “One would expect that to include potentially Dominic Raab, potentially Sajid Javid, potentially Rishi Sunak, but obviously all of those have issues around them. Liz Truss, possibly, and outsiders, [health and social care select committee chair] Jeremy Hunt. [Deputy chairman of the COVID recovery group] Steve Baker said that he will stand. [Possibly attorney general for England and Wales] Suella Braverman.”,Academics See No Clear Exit for Johnson or Replacement PMYesterday, 17:44 GMT,More of the Same at Home and Abroad,The experts predicted that Britain’s foreign and domestic policies not change, whoever is in charge.,“While millions of Brits are today celebrating the resignation of Boris Johnson, no one should think that whoever follows him will be any better, or any less dangerous in terms of their foreign policy decisions,” Griffin stressed.,The observer believes that the next election, whenever it takes place, “is going to be fought against the backdrop of the economic and social catastrophe created by the entire Westminster elite,” and that “whoever is in charge, they are going to be hammered at the polls as the public protest at the impact of the elite’s triple suicide efforts of dismantling Britain’s energy supply with the ‘green agenda’, their hysterical Covid lockdown and money-printing spree, and their self-defeating [Russia] sanctions regime.”,“The only thing that might save the Conservatives from a long period out of office is the fact that the Labour Party has turned its back on working class bread and butter policies in favor of an obsession with LGBTQ+ and other woke dogmas,” Griffin thinks.,Ultimately, according to the observer, while Britain’s new “captain” can “give orders for some minor rearrangements of the deckchairs,” the ship of state “will continue to sink” thanks to the globalist policies which sparked the current cost of living crisis, and to which the country’s current crop of elites is addicted to.,Boris Johnson Quits as Conservative Party Leader & Prime Minister11:31 GMT,Professor Jones also believes that when it comes to major changes in domestic or foreign policy, “the reality is nothing is going to change.”,“The UK Government will stand very strongly alongside the government of Ukraine, giving them the support that they have done throughout the entire war. And in domestic politics, if we look at the cost of living crisis again, nothing much is going to change. I think what will be interesting will be to see, whoever takes over as party leader, who they then appoint to their cabinet, and what tinkering will be done to the British economy and the whole British social structure. The reality is there's not a lot can be done in the short term until these changes that the Johnson government has started to put through, actually filter through. In many respects, for the next 18 months and maybe even longer, up until our next general election, it's likely to be more of the same,” Jones explained.。

二 |     

2026年7月30日,中国篮球媒体日暨《世界篮球发展中期报告(洛杉矶奥运周期)》发布活动在中国篮球协会举行。本次活动对报告中的相关数据及成果进行了解读与讨论,并同步介绍了《第十五届全运会篮球项目数据报告》以及《2025技术与体能测试数据分析报告》的重点内容。活动由中国篮球协会K8项目组特邀篮球分析专员管维佳主持,中国篮球协会副主席徐济成,中国篮球协会相关部门负责人,前国家男篮助理教练刘炜,2024-2025赛季NCAA东华盛顿大学女篮助理教练、对外经贸大学体育部教师宋晓云,中国篮协教练委员会会员、北京市东城区和平里第一小学副书记宋占军以及报告编辑团队等参与了此次活动,多家媒体及自媒体代表到场进行报道。

三 | 中国篮球协会副主席徐济成在开场致辞中表示,相较于奥运周期结束后的回顾性总结,这份中期报告的重要价值在于持续观察与动态校准。结合今天同步介绍的《第十五届全运会篮球项目数据报告》以及《2025技术与体能测试数据分析报告》,中国篮球协会已逐步构建起“能力标准、竞赛表现、世界趋势”的数据化研判体系。

四 | 此次报告的发布,希望能够引导行业凝聚共识、形成合力,以世界前沿为坐标,推动青训与国家队训练体系向“综合解决实际问题”的方向转化,在融入世界篮球潮流的过程中,稳步提升我国篮球的综合实力,为三大球的振兴贡献篮球力量。中国篮球协会技术与标准部、K8项目负责人承相对《世界篮球发展中期报告》的核心内容进行了解读。他指出,篮球数据分析不能只停留在结果评价,更要推进到原因分析和过程还原。因此,报告将趋势研究从周期结束后的总结转变为持续观察。承相强调,中国篮球协会也一直致力于利用数据化的科学手段展开研究。

五 | 现代篮球的发展并非简单的“标签之争”,实质是在空间、效率和球员能力提升的背景下,对不同打法的重新优化。基于数据实证,现代篮球的变化集中体现在“投篮能力、挡拆发起、角色职能、转换进攻以及科学分析”五个基本要素上。此外,报告指出,14至17岁是球员身体素质与专项技术协同发展的重要窗口,18至22岁则是由青少年阶段向成年高水平篮球衔接、实现培养成果转化的关键阶段。围绕不同年龄段球员的成长规律,持续丰富高水平训练与竞赛实践,推动各培养环节更加紧密衔接,是进一步提升人才培养质量的重要方向。此后的圆桌分享环节,中国篮球协会技术与标准部、K8项目负责人承相,根尖体育创始人王海滨,K8项目特邀篮球分析师董倡硕就“现代篮球是什么”的主题进行了交流。针对数字化应用向下普及的方向,王海滨结合K8平台在校园赛事的应用现状提出,要真正发挥数据辅助球队建立技战术体系的作用,首要前提是推动基层赛事的标准化与规范化。承相则从数据服务教练决策的角度出发,指出在现代篮球发展过程中,数据分析已经融入教练员的日常工作流程,成为执教体系的重要组成部分。数据通过对比赛规律和球员表现的深度解析,帮助教练更全面地认识比赛、更精准地制定方案。数据分析能力,本身也正在成为现代教练员专业能力的重要组成部分。

六 | 此外,董倡硕聚焦于破除认知误区与概念界定,他呼吁行业应摒弃“盲目投三分”与“简单打小球”等碎片化标签,并强调现代篮球的实质在于高效利用空间以创造优质出手机会。圆桌分享的第二个议题是“报告对中国篮球发展的启示”,前国家男篮助理教练刘炜,2024-2025赛季NCAA东华盛顿大学女篮助理教练、对外经贸大学体育部教师宋晓云,中国篮协教练委员会会员、北京市东城区和平里第一小学副书记宋占军就此话题展开了深入讨论。结合多年赛场与执教经验,刘炜坦言国内队伍在阅读比赛与高压对抗上仍存在差距。他认为,缩小这一差距不仅需要长久坚守系统化青训,更亟待为17至22岁青年球员补充连贯的高水平实战历练;宋晓云引入了海外赛事与体系建设的视角,她观察到高水平篮球已形成科学闭环,并指出报告的发布有助于为国内教练员建立“共同的篮球语言”与客观参考依据;宋占军从基层青训与小篮球推广的角度,剖析了国内外青训差距源于训练逻辑的不同,呼吁必须牢牢抓住14至17岁黄金窗口期,将机械练动作真正转向实战化决策能力的培养;最后,孔德昕通过媒体观察与战术执行的维度指出,中国篮球目前在持续创造转换进攻等高质量出手方面仍有短板。同时,他将报告生动地比喻为提供标准化指导的“菜谱”,认为这将帮助整个行业跳出纯经验主义的局限,从而选择更正确的赛场策略。圆桌分享结束后,在场的媒体记者围绕报告核心内容与协会领导及嘉宾展开了互动和交流。

七 | 从巴黎奥运周期的初步探索,到如今洛杉矶奥运周期的持续跟踪,中国篮球协会在构建数据化研判体系方面取得了积极进展。面向“十五五”时期竞技体育高质量发展与数字化转型的新要求,中国篮球协会将进一步推动“数字篮球”理念落地,切实将科技赋能与数据研判成果,转化为指导青训体系优化、联赛水平提升与国家队备战的实践依据。从国际视野到本土洞察,从中国实践到中国创造,中国篮球正以开放、理性的姿态凝聚各方共识,让现代科学的篮球理念在各级梯队中落地生根,稳步缩小与世界高水平的差距,努力为实现“三大球”振兴与建成体育强国持续贡献篮球力量。

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